FPL Models Explained - How They Work and Why They Matter
By Arasi Rex · Updated 14 August 2026 · 5 min read
FPL models calculate points from a blend of statistics like goals, assists, clean sheets and defensive contributions, with each stat weighted according to official rules. The newest rule set keeps Defensive Contribution (DefCon) points capped at 2 per match, a change that remains unchanged for 2026/27. Managers must now balance these figures with the new BPS tweaks that reward goalkeepers for saving big chances and remove the outside‑box save metric.
How FPL Models Work
The scoring engine assigns points based on a player’s position and the outcome of the match. A defender earns 2 points for 10 combined clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles (CBIT); a midfielder or forward earns 2 points for 12 defensive actions, including ball recoveries (CBIRT). The cap of 2 points applies regardless of how many actions a player records - a defender with 20 CBIT still receives only 2 points.
Bonus points are awarded via the BPS system. Goalkeepers now gain +1 BPS for a save from inside the box, and a new +1 BPS applies for saving a big chance. The previous metric for a save from outside the box has been removed. Additionally, the live bonus points feature shows projected BPS 20 minutes into a match, and mini‑league standings refresh live.
FPL offers eight chips in total, split into two sets of four. The set used before Gameweek 19 must be deployed by 13:30 GMT on Saturday 2 January 2027 and cannot be carried over. The chips are Wildcard, Free Hit, Triple Captain and Bench Boost. Up to five free transfers can be rolled over into the next gameweek.
Key Statistics That Drive Points
Below are the top performers across each position, highlighting the points, clean sheets and cost that shape an optimal squad.
Top Defenders
| Player | Total Points | Clean Sheets | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | 209 | 18 | 80 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 175 | 10 | 65 |
| Senesi | 175 | 11 | 60 |
Top Midfielders
| Player | Total Points | Clean Sheets | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes | 235 | 7 | 120 |
| Semenyo | 202 | 12 | 85 |
| Declan Rice | 184 | 18 | 75 |
Top Forwards
| Player | Total Points | Clean Sheets | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 239 | 13 | 155 |
| João Pedro | 177 | 10 | 75 |
| Igor Thiago | 181 | 10 | 80 |
These figures illustrate how high‑cost players can still deliver a strong points haul when paired with solid defensive stats.
Defensive Contribution Explained
The DefCon system rewards defensive work across all positions. For defenders, 10 CBIT = 2 points; for midfielders and forwards, 12 CBIRT = 2 points. The cap ensures that a player who racks up 20 CBIT does not earn 4 points. Last season’s top DefCon scorers were Anderson (52), Senesi (50) and Tarkowski (44). All ten leaders were either centre‑backs or defensive midfielders - no forwards made the list.
Chip Strategy and Transfers
With eight chips, timing is as crucial as the players you pick. The first set must be used before GW19, so many managers deploy a Wildcard early to rebuild a squad after the first half of the season. The Free Hit chip can turn a bad fixture list into an opportunity to play a 5‑man squad, while the Triple Captain is ideal for a high‑scoring fixture. Bench Boost gives extra points from the bench, making depth a real asset. Rolling five free transfers can help you adjust to injuries or form without penalty.
Bonus Points and BPS Tweaks
The BPS overhaul benefits goalkeepers and attacking midfielders. Saving a big chance now earns +1 BPS, which can be decisive in tight point races. Forwards and midfielders still gain BPS from assists, goals and clean sheets, but the new system levels the playing field by narrowing the overlap with DefCon points. Managers should monitor BPS trends when considering a player’s value.
Live Features and Price Predictors
The 2026/27 season introduced two live tools. First, projected bonus points become visible 20 minutes into every match, allowing managers to adjust their bench or play‑on strategy on the fly. Second, the Price Change Predictor tool gives a forecast of how a player’s price might move in the next 24 hours, helping you decide whether to buy, sell or hold.
Practical Tips for Managers
- Prioritise high points‑per‑game players - a 6.8 points‑per‑game forward like Erling Haaland can outscore a cheaper, lower‑per‑game striker.
- Balance DefCon and BPS - a defender with 2 DefCon points but a low BPS may still be valuable if the team keeps clean sheets.
- Use the Wildcard early - a mid‑season rebuild can capture players on price drops before the second half of the season.
- Track price changes - the predictor tool can reveal a player about to drop, allowing you to buy before the market reacts.
- Plan chip usage around fixtures - a Triple Captain on a team with a high‑scoring fixture can double your points.
Key takeaways
- FPL models blend goals, assists, clean sheets and defensive actions, with DefCon capped at 2 points per match.
- The top DefCon scorers last season were all centre‑backs or defensive midfielders; no forwards appeared.
- Eight chips, split into two sets, give managers flexibility but require timely deployment.
- BPS changes reward goalkeepers for saving big chances and remove the outside‑box metric.
- Live bonus points and a price predictor add a dynamic layer to mid‑season decision‑making.
FAQ
Q: How is Defensive Contribution calculated for forwards? A: For forwards, 12 defensive actions - including ball recoveries - earn 2 points, capped at 2 points regardless of how many actions are recorded.
Q: When must the first set of chips be used? A: The first set must be deployed before the Gameweek 19 deadline, 13:30 GMT Saturday 2 January 2027.
Q: What new BPS rule applies to goalkeepers? A: Goalkeepers receive +1 BPS for saving a shot from inside the box and +1 BPS for saving a big chance; the outside‑box save metric has been removed.
Q: Where can I find live bonus points during a match? A: Projected bonus points appear 20 minutes into each match and can be seen in the live match interface.