FPL Gameweek 13-differentials tips: Trust the big-hitters
By Arasi Rex · Updated 15 August 2026 · 7 min read
The template is not the problem in Gameweek 13. The real decisions sit underneath Erling Haaland, and the FPL Gameweek 13-differentials tips that matter are about midfielders at Chelsea, Nott'm Forest and Bournemouth. Man City hosting Leeds makes the captain obvious; the rest of the team is where you make up ground.
FPL Gameweek 13-differentials tips: The fixtures table
All ten fixtures kick off at 20:00 on 2 December. The fixture that shapes the round is Man City vs Leeds, because it pairs the best forward in the data with a side that conceded 56 goals.
Captain picks
If you own Haaland, this is the week to give him the armband. The rank order below starts with the safe pick and ends with a genuine differential.
1. Erling Haaland (Man City vs Leeds): 6.8 points per game, 239 total points, 27 goals, 8 assists and 43 bonus. Leeds were the side in the standings data with 56 goals against and a goal difference of -7. At 74.8% ownership, the captaincy will not win you ground, but it avoids losing it.
2. Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd vs Newcastle): The away fixture at Newcastle is not the easiest on the board, but Fernandes has 24 assists and 9 goals, 6.7 points per game and 235 total points. His 41 bonus shows he scores well in matches where the goals are spread around. He is the hedge captain if you expect Haaland's returns to be level.
3. Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal vs Brentford): Arsenal travel to Brentford, a side that finished ninth with 55 goals scored but only 53 points. Gyökeres has 14 goals, 128 points and an xG of 12.26. At 13.1% ownership, he is the third captain and the one for managers chasing rank.
Players to bring in
The best transfers this week sit in midfield and at budget forward. This table shows the players with the best combination of output and low ownership.
| Player | Club | Ownership | Points | Output |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernandez | Chelsea | 5.5% | 157 | 10 goals, 5 assists |
| Morgan Gibbs-White | Nott'm Forest | 11.6% | 188 | 15 goals, 4 assists |
| Bruno Guimarães | Newcastle | 9.2% | 154 | 9 goals, 7 assists |
| Marcus Tavernier | Bournemouth | 1.9% | 137 | 7 goals, 4 assists |
| Danny Welbeck | Chelsea | 2.7% | 126 | 13 goals, 1 assist |
Enzo Fernandez is the strongest bring-in in the data. He has 10 goals and 5 assists, 157 points, and expected numbers of 11.26 for goals and 7.26 for assists. Chelsea host Crystal Palace, a side that finished 15th with 51 goals against, and 5.5% ownership is low enough to count as a real differential.
Morgan Gibbs-White is the second name on the list. Fifteen goals from midfield at 11.6% ownership is the sort of output you normally associate with a premium midfield pick. His 188 total points and 5.1 points per game put him above players with far higher ownership, and Nott'm Forest travel to Hull City with the kind of fixture that should not produce a blank.
Bruno Guimarães is the third. Newcastle host Man Utd, and his 154 points, 9 goals and 7 assists make him a genuine all-round midfield pick at 9.2% ownership. This is not a fixture to captain, but it is a fixture to use as a route into a Newcastle team that finished 12th and scored 53 goals.
Marcus Tavernier is the true punt. He is selected by just 1.9% of managers, yet he has 137 points, 7 goals and 4 assists. Bournemouth's home match with Brighton looks like the kind of game that produces chances for a midfielder who has an expected goals figure of 9.06.
Danny Welbeck solves a different problem. He has 13 goals and 126 points at 2.7% ownership, and Chelsea play Crystal Palace at home. If you need a budget forward to free up funds for Haaland or Fernandes, Welbeck is the one the data supports.
Players to move on
The transfer out decision is less exciting but just as important. These three players are all listed with a 0% chance of playing in Gameweek 13.
William Saliba (Arsenal): Saliba has a back injury and no return date. His 137 points and 15 clean sheets are irrelevant until he is back, so move him on if he is still taking up a squad slot.
Hugo Ekitiké (Liverpool): Achilles injury, 0% chance of playing, 125 points and 11 goals. A non-playing forward is a wasted squad slot, no matter how cheap he was.
James Garner (Everton): Garner has 159 points and 7 assists, but a groin injury leaves him with a 0% chance of playing. He is the least obvious of the three because of those assists, but the injury status is the only column that matters.
The differential
Every Gameweek 13 team needs one pick who is not in the template. That player is Richarlison (Spurs vs Fulham). He has 11 goals and 4 assists, 119 points and only 1.9% ownership. Fulham finished 11th with 51 goals against, while Richarlison has an expected goals figure of 8.64. He is not the safest pick in the data, but he is the kind of forward who can turn a red arrow into a green one without being on anyone else's team.
The FPL Gameweek 13-differentials tips here are simple. Captain Haaland, bring in Enzo and Gibbs-White, sell the injured players and let Richarlison be the one swing. The template protects your rank; those decisions decide how far it moves.
Key takeaways
- Haaland is the Gameweek 13 captaincy anchor: 6.8 ppg, 27 goals, 8 assists and a home game against Leeds.
- Enzo Fernandez is the best midfield differential at 5.5% ownership with 10 goals and 5 assists.
- Morgan Gibbs-White offers 188 points and 15 goals from midfield at 11.6% ownership.
- Saliba, Ekitiké and Garner are the move-on candidates, with all three carrying a 0% chance of playing.
- Richarlison is the rank-chasing differential: 11 goals, 4 assists, 119 points and 1.9% ownership.
FAQ
Who is the best FPL Gameweek 13 differential?
Richarlison is the sharpest low-owned pick in the data. He has 11 goals and 4 assists, 119 points and 1.9% ownership, and Spurs host Fulham in Gameweek 13.
Should I captain Haaland in Gameweek 13?
Yes. Haaland has 27 goals, 8 assists and 6.8 points per game. Man City host Leeds, and Leeds conceded 56 goals in the standings data.
Which injured FPL players should be sold?
Saliba, Ekitiké and Garner all have a 0% chance of playing in Gameweek 13. Saliba has a back injury with no return date, Ekitiké has an Achilles issue and Garner has a groin problem.
Is Danny Welbeck worth a transfer for Gameweek 13?
Welbeck has 13 goals and 126 points at 2.7% ownership, with Chelsea at home to Crystal Palace. As a budget forward, he is the easiest way to free up funds while keeping a forward who scores.