FPL Gameweek 11-differentials tips: Chelsea and Spurs

The FPL Gameweek 11-differentials tips that matter this week all point the same way: Chelsea and Spurs. The fixture list has given both clubs home games against Leeds and Ipswich Town, and the players with the best numbers are not necessarily the most-owned ones. The decision is whether to spend transfers on the Chelsea midfield route or take the cheaper Spurs forward option.

The fixtures table

Home	Away	The data point
Aston Villa	Sunderland	Watkins has 16 goals and 4 assists.
Bournemouth	Nott'm Forest	Tavernier has 7 goals and 4 assists.
Brentford	Everton	Dango Ouattara has 7 goals and 8 assists.
Coventry City	Crystal Palace	Mateta has 12 goals.
Hull City	Brighton	Hinshelwood has 4 goals and 3 assists.
Liverpool	Man Utd	B.Fernandes has 9 goals and 24 assists.
Man City	Fulham	Haaland has 27 goals and 8 assists.
Newcastle	Arsenal	Saka has 7 goals and 10 assists.
Spurs	Ipswich Town	Richarlison has 11 goals and 4 assists.
Chelsea	Leeds	João Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists.

The table is not a set of predictions. It is a shortlist of the players whose numbers already match the fixture. The next step is ranking them for captaincy and for transfers.

Captain picks (3 ranked)

Joao Pedro is the strongest captain. He has 15 goals and 9 assists, has produced 177 FPL points, and plays Leeds at Stamford Bridge. The 54.2 per cent ownership means he is not a differential, but Gameweek 11 is not the week to avoid him for that reason. His points per game of 5.1 is better than every other forward in this captain shortlist except Haaland.

Haaland is the safety captain. He has 27 goals and 8 assists, with an expected goals figure of 25.50, and the fixture is Man City at home to Fulham. At £15.5m he remains the most expensive player in the game, but his 74.8 per cent ownership means a quiet week damages everyone equally. If you are protecting rank, he is fine. If you are chasing rank, he is not the one.

Richarlison is the rank-play captain. He has 11 goals and 4 assists, is owned by only 1.9 per cent of squads, and faces Ipswich Town at home. The 4.0 points per game? FPL row points_per_game 3.7. Use 3.7. He has 11 goals and 4 assists, is owned by only 1.9 per cent of squads, and faces Ipswich Town at home. His points per game is 3.7, which is not elite, but the ownership and the fixture are the two things that matter for a captain gamble.

Players to bring in (4-5)

All of the names below are under 10 per cent ownership, which means they can move your rank without moving the whole template with you.

• Enzo Fernandez (Chelsea, £7.0m, 5.5 per cent owned): 10 goals, 5 assists, expected goals of 11.26 and expected assists of 7.26. He is the best combination of price, output and fixture on this list.
• Richarlison (Spurs, £6.0m, 1.9 per cent owned): 11 goals and 4 assists. Spurs face Ipswich Town at home, and he offers the forward-line upside that Enzo cannot.
• Dango Ouattara (Brentford, £6.5m, 1.4 per cent owned): 7 goals and 8 assists. Brentford host Everton, and his assist total is the second-highest among the budget midfielders in this data.
• Jérémy Doku (Man City, £7.5m, 6.4 per cent owned): 5 goals and 8 assists. Man City host Fulham, and Doku is the direct-running option in a side that should spend long spells in the final third.
• Rayan Cherki (Man City, £7.5m, 9.3 per cent owned): 4 goals and 13 assists. If you prefer the pass before the assist, Cherki is the better City midfielder. Do not buy both Doku and Cherki; they are the same price and the same fixture, so pick the profile you need.

Players to move on

Use a transfer on players who cannot play before you chase another differential. The data lists three players with a 0 per cent chance of playing: Hugo Ekitiké, James Garner and William Saliba.

• Hugo Ekitiké (Liverpool, 0.2 per cent owned): 11 goals and 4 assists, but an Achilles injury with no return date. His output is wasted in your squad if he cannot play.
• James Garner (Everton, 0.7 per cent owned): 2 goals and 7 assists, but a groin injury and a 0 per cent chance of playing. He is a bench placeholder at best.
• William Saliba (Arsenal, 0.5 per cent owned): 1 goal and no assists, and a back injury with no return date. Move him on if you need a playing defender.

The one high-ownership sale to consider is Bruno Fernandes if you need cash. He has 9 goals and 24 assists, which is a huge output, but Man Utd are away to Liverpool. Moving him to Enzo and using the spare money elsewhere is a legitimate Gameweek 11 play.

The differential

One pick sits above the rest: Enzo Fernandez. He is 5.5 per cent owned, costs £7.0m, and has 10 goals and 5 assists from 36 appearances. His expected numbers of 11.26 for goals and 7.26 for assists show that the output is not a fluke. Chelsea host Leeds, and Enzo is the cheapest way into the Chelsea attack with a genuine goal threat.

He is also the captain option if Joao Pedro's 54.2 per cent ownership takes the edge off the armband. A 5.5 per cent owned midfielder with double-digit goals is exactly what a differential week is supposed to look like. The FPL Gameweek 11-differentials tips here are simple: take the Chelsea midfield route and let Richarlison cover the Spurs attack from the forward line.

Key takeaways

• Joao Pedro is the strongest captain: 15 goals, 9 assists and a home game against Leeds.
• Haaland is the safety captain: 27 goals, 8 assists and an expected goals figure of 25.50 at home to Fulham.
• Enzo Fernandez is the standout differential at 5.5 per cent ownership with 10 goals and 5 assists.
• Richarlison offers forward-line upside at 1.9 per cent ownership with 11 goals and 4 assists at home to Ipswich.
• Injured players with 0 per cent chance of playing, including Ekitiké, Garner and Saliba, should be moved on before buying new differentials.

FAQ

Who are the best FPL Gameweek 11 differentials?

Enzo Fernandez and Richarlison are the two best low-owned options. Enzo has 10 goals and 5 assists for Chelsea, while Richarlison has 11 goals and 4 assists for Spurs. Both are owned by under 6 per cent of squads and play at home.

Should I captain Joao Pedro or Haaland in Gameweek 11?

Joao Pedro has 15 goals and 9 assists going into a home game against Leeds. Haaland has 27 goals, 8 assists and an expected goals figure of 25.50 going into Man City versus Fulham. If you want rank protection, Haaland; if you want upside, Joao Pedro.

Is Richarlison worth a transfer for Gameweek 11?

Yes, if you need a cheap forward. He is £6.0m, 1.9 per cent owned, and has 11 goals and 4 assists. Spurs host Ipswich Town, which is the friendliest fixture on the board for a forward at that price.

Who is a good budget midfield differential?

Dango Ouattara is the budget option at £6.5m and 1.4 per cent ownership. He has 7 goals and 8 assists for Brentford, who host Everton. If you want to follow the FPL Gameweek 11-differentials tips without spending big, he is a sensible route into that game.